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Judgment under uncertainty : heuristics and biases

Judgment under uncertainty : heuristics and biases (42회 대출)

자료유형
단행본
개인저자
Kahneman, Daniel, 1934-. Slovic, Paul, 1938-. Tversky, Amos
서명 / 저자사항
Judgment under uncertainty : heuristics and biases / edited by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky.
발행사항
Cambridge ;   New York :   Cambridge University Press,   1982.  
형태사항
xiii, 555 p. : ill. ; 23 cm.
ISBN
0521240646 0521284147 (pbk.)
서지주기
Includes bibliographical references(p. [521]-551) and index.
일반주제명
Judgment. Heuristic.
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245 0 0 ▼a Judgment under uncertainty : ▼b heuristics and biases / ▼c edited by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky.
260 ▼a Cambridge ; ▼a New York : ▼b Cambridge University Press, ▼c 1982.
300 ▼a xiii, 555 p. : ▼b ill. ; ▼c 23 cm.
504 ▼a Includes bibliographical references(p. [521]-551) and index.
650 0 ▼a Judgment.
650 0 ▼a Heuristic.
700 1 ▼a Kahneman, Daniel, ▼d 1934-.
700 1 ▼a Slovic, Paul, ▼d 1938-.
700 1 ▼a Tversky, Amos

No. 소장처 청구기호 등록번호 도서상태 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 1 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412601915 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 2 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412603438 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 3 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412603439 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 4 소장처 세종학술정보원/인문자료실1/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151027344 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 5 소장처 세종학술정보원/보존서고/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151006632 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 6 소장처 세종학술정보원/보존서고/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151006633 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 소장처 청구기호 등록번호 도서상태 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 1 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412601915 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 2 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412603438 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 3 소장처 중앙도서관/서고6층/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 412603439 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스 B M
No. 소장처 청구기호 등록번호 도서상태 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 1 소장처 세종학술정보원/인문자료실1/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151027344 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 2 소장처 세종학술정보원/보존서고/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151006632 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스
No. 3 소장처 세종학술정보원/보존서고/ 청구기호 153.46 J92 등록번호 151006633 도서상태 대출가능 반납예정일 예약 서비스

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목차


CONTENTS
List of contributors = ⅷ
Preface = xi
Part Ⅰ : Introduction
 1 judgment under uncertainty : Heuristics and biases / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahtientan = 3
Part Ⅱ : Representativeness
 2 Belief in the law of small numbers / Amos Tversky and Daniel Kalineman = 23
 3 Subjective probability : A judgment of representativeness / Daniel Kahneman ; Amos Tversky = 32
 4 On the psychology of prediction / Daniel Kahneman ; Amos Tversky = 48
 5 Studies of representativeness / Maya Bar-Hiliel = 69
 6 Judgments of and by representativeness / Antos Tversky ; Daniel Kalineinan = 84
Part Ⅲ : Causality and attribution
 7 Popular induction : Information is not necessarily informative / Richard E. Nisbett ; Eugene Borgida ; Rick Crandall ; Harvey Reed = 101
 8 Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahnemai = 117
 9 Shortcomings in the attribution process : On the origins and maintenance of erroneous social assessments / Lee Ross ; Crag A. Anderson = 129
 10 Evidential impact of base rates / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahticinati = 153
Part Ⅳ : Availability
 11 Availability : A heuristic for judging frequency and probability / Antos Tversky ; Daniel Kalinettiall = 163
 12 Egocentric biases in availability and attribution / Michael Ross ; Fiore Sicoly = 179
 13 The availability bias in social perception and interaction / Shelley E. Taylor = 190
 14 The simulation heuristic / Daniel Kahneman ; Amos Tversky = 201
Part Ⅴ : Covariation and control
 15 Informal covariation assessment : Data-based versus theory-based judgments / Dennis L. Jennings ; Teresa M. Aniabile ; Lee Ross = 211
 16 The illusion of control / Ellen J. Langer = 231
 17 Test results are what you think they are / Loren J. Chapman ; Jean Chapman = 239
 18 Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine : Problems and opportunities / Dazyid M. Eddy = 249
 19 Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making / Hillel J. Einitorti = 268
Part Ⅵ : Overconfidence
 20 Overconfidence in case-study judgments / Stuart Oskamp = 287
 21 A progress report on the training of probability assessors / Marc Alpert ; Hozilard Raiffa = 294
 22 Calibration of probabilities : The state of the art to 1980 / Sarah Lichtenstein ; Baruch Fisclilioff ; Lawrence D. Phillips = 306
 23 For those condemned to study the past : Heuristics and biases in hindsight / Baruch Fischhoff = 335
Part Ⅶ : Multistage evaluation
 24 Evaluation of compound probabilities in sequential choice / John Cohen ; E. I. Chcstiick ; D. Harati = 355
 25 Conservatism in human information processing / Ward Edwards = 359
 26 The best-guess hypothesis in multistage inference / Charles F. Gcttys ; Cliittoyi Kelly Ⅲ ; Cameron R. Peterson = 370
 27 Inferences of personal characteristics on the basis of information retrieved from one's memory / Yaacov Trope = 378
Part Ⅷ : Corrective procedures
 28 The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making / Robyti M. Dawes = 391
 29 The vitality of mythical numbers / Max Singer = 408
 30 Intuitive prediction : Biases and corrective procedures / Daniel Kahtieman ; Amos Tversky = 414
 31 Debiasing / Barucli Fischlioff = 422
 32 Improving inductive inference / Richard E. Nisbett ; David H. Krantz ; Cliristopher Jepson ; Geoffrey T. Foiig = 445
Part Ⅸ : Risk perception
 33 Facts versus fears : Understanding perceived risk / Paul Slovic ; Barucli Fisclilioff ; Sarah Lichtenstein = 463
Part Ⅹ : Postscript
 34 On the study of statistical intuitions / Daniel Kahneinan ; Amos Tversky = 493
 35 Variants of uncertainty / Daniel Kahneinan ; Amos Tversky = 509
References = 521
Index = 553


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